Thursday June 20 2013
Here is an example of what students can learn from reading
http://www.themarketperspective.com

Markets were down around the world after the FED remarks yesterday.Bernanke struggled for clarity. But the direction of the markets was pretty clear, this was just the news event the media will hang its hat on. Rather than change policy direction with less regulation and taxation, the solution is to fire Bernanke. The list of replacements suggests more of the same. This is typical era of stagnation thinking. It is as though we are re living the Carter years all over again.
A reader asked for less anecdotal evidence and we showed the clear stair step down pattern of GLD.
The truth of the matter is all the FED can do is attempt to raise or lower interest rates. But that does not force anyone to invest. And hiring has clearly not picked up amid massive regulation and tax initiatives from the government. Lower unemployment has simply meant more on food stamps and giving up looking for work. All that happened was a cheap money fueled speculation in stocks and commodities around the world.
Social mood has turned fearful. Just scan the headlines in the WSJ as we have shown, there is repression from Moscow to Istanbul to Cairo to Washington DC. The Administration turns the IRS attack dogs on their enemies. And no one is punished for it. Okay enough of that.
it seems clear that our suggestion of May 22 as being a significant top was correct. I note that gold has rebounded a bit from below 1300 last night to above 1300 today.
Our comment was that the best place to be was sidelined. Gambling on the outcome of stocks or gold at such a juncture is a high risk proposition. It appears the better idea for longer term investors is to prepare for ways to take advantage of coming higher interest rates.
Our idea of closed end municipal bond funds was interesting. While other asset classes collapsed, those funds experienced little to no volatility on the sell off yesterday.
Stocks remain at a 13 year high with the potential to fall much further. Note our graph in a previous post showing the NYSE stil way aove the collapsing summation index. The NYSE needs a much larger fall to catch up with the declining summation index.
Our view has been that a top of some significance was at hand and defensive action was the best idea. had I recommended buying 100 puts on GLD no doubt the readership on this blog would be up. But we made the direction of the markets clear.
Oil also fell last night but has not decisively turned down yet. The turmoil in the mid East is apparently keeping it high. It is highly correlated with the stock market.
More to follow.