First we'll kill all the lawyers
King Henry VI, Scene 2
Alan Murray speculates on the outcome of the Committee on Capital Markets Regulation on page A2 of the Wed 11/29 WSJ. The conclusion is -too many lawyers. Too many complex regulations and too many mouthings of what is money. Incredibly the SEC is staffed with 1344 attorneys and 27 economists, what no CPAs, now wonder nothing gets done.
On page A11, Treasury Secy Paulson warns against protectionism-establishing tariffs to protect domestic workers in any country from a 'flood of under priced goods made by cheap labor.' Paulson, fresh from his 71st trip to China, is worried that a slowdown in the Chinese economy would slow the world economy. One reason the Depression lasted as long as it did was the passage in the early 1930s of the restrictive Smoot Hawley Tariffs .
Now on the op ed page the WSJ editorializes that the US dollar has sunk to a 20 month low, the Dems are talking protectionist legislation, Paulson is fearful of just that, and Bernake thinks inflation may still be a big worry. They are all of course correct.
A currency sinks versus other currencies due to lack of faith in both an economy or the government that should help provide stable prices supported by a stable currency. Protectionist legislation chases investment in an economy away, that is why South America and India have wandered in the economic wilderness for decades; ditto for Western Europe today with 9% unemployment. As the dollar falls, commodity prices rise to maintain a constant value. And so oil has hit a low and is advancing as are gold and silver. All the pieces fit together don't they. If this continues Bernake will have no choice but to raise interest rates which he does not want to do. This is a good example of how economics, finance, and accounting all fit together to help one understand the world economy.
DLE