The Great Depression

  • Benjamin Roth: The Great Depression: A Diary

    Benjamin Roth: The Great Depression: A Diary
    It's all here, times change people don't -the endless govt programs that fail to stimulate the private sector -the ups and downs of the economy, the veterans pension stimulates just as the housing credit did, until of course the money runs out -Roth is a attorney in Youngstown Ohio who kept a diary regarding the economy from 1930 until WW II breaks out, he is objective, candid, and forthright which is more than we get from Washington DC now or then highly recommended

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September 29, 2012

Comments

StuartD

Just superb analysis and charts once again! On another note, you had recently eluded to an 18-year cycle in regard to the stock market so I thought I would do a little arithmetic research on that. I looked at the closest fibonacci number to 216 (18 x 12), the closest would be the fibonacci number 233.

Then I got to thinking about the lunar cycles during this calendar period as I was recently made aware of some striking correlations with stocks and lunar cycles and guess what?

(see definitions below)
"If we take 223 synodic months (6,585.321 days) and compare them with 242 draconic months (6,585.357 days) we can see that they are almost the same. This period is the Saros and it amounts to 18 years, 10 and a third days." (courtesy of http://www.oarval.org/metonic.htm)

Ok, we are back to the 18-year reference (for "the Saros") and 233 is almost exactly the average of the two cycle periods: 232.5 (223+242)/2= 232.5 here is a remarkable fibonacci coincidence don't you think?

definitions:

Draconic month: The interval between two successive passages of the Moon through the same node of its orbit.

Synodic month: The interval between two successive New Moons.

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